Solana’s recent price collapse has shaken investor confidence, with the blockchain experiencing its worst month since the FTX crash in November 2022.
SOL has plunged over 50% from its recent highs in January, shedding 38% in the past 30 days alone.
While broader market conditions have played a role, the primary trigger has been the sharp decline in memecoin trading, which once fueled Solana’s on-chain activity.
The network’s memecoin ecosystem, particularly through Pump.fun, had generated significant transaction volume, bringing in $577 million in fees.
Recent data indicates that momentum has faded, with daily trading volume plummeting 94% in just one day—from $89.5 million on 25 February to a mere $5.03 million on 26 February.
Source: CoinMarketCap
This collapse has had a cascading effect on Solana’s decentralized finance (DeFi) ecosystem, as liquidity rapidly exits the network.
DeFi outflows surge
Solana’s DeFi sector has suffered a steep decline, with total value locked (TVL) dropping from $12 billion in mid-January to $7.13 billion as of late February, a loss of nearly $5 billion.
This exodus has been driven by fading memecoin enthusiasm, investor caution, and increased migration to rival networks.
Raydium, Solana’s leading decentralized exchange and home to many of Pump.fun’s meme coins have seen its TVL shrink by 50% over the past month.
The liquidity crunch has been further exacerbated by capital outflows to competing ecosystems.
Over $500 million has been bridged from Solana to Ethereum, Arbitrum, and Sonic in the last 30 days, reflecting declining trader confidence in Solana’s ability to sustain its once-booming on-chain activity.
The majority of newly minted meme coins on Pump.fun have crashed 80–90% from their peaks, leaving traders with massive losses.
This has deterred new entrants and further reduced speculative activity, a crucial driver of Solana’s recent success.
SOL struggles at key levels
The sell-off has sent SOL tumbling to $142, down 15% in the past seven days. Bulls are struggling to establish a support level, with $140 serving as a critical threshold.
If the price falls below this level, SOL could drop further, with the next major support zone between $125 and $130. A breakdown below this range would mark Solana’s lowest price since August 2024.
Despite these challenges, analysts note that recovery is possible if SOL can reclaim the $150 mark and if TVL outflows begin to stabilize.
With weak investor sentiment and continued capital flight, the likelihood of a swift rebound remains uncertain.
Token unlock adds pressure
Adding to the bearish outlook, an upcoming token unlock on 1 March is expected to release 11.2 million SOL tokens into the market, increasing selling pressure.
Historically, large unlock events have led to further price declines as investors offload tokens.
Institutional adoption remains another hurdle. While there has been speculation about a potential Solana ETF, the probability of approval in the near term appears low.
Unlike Bitcoin and Ethereum, which have drawn institutional backing, Solana still faces regulatory uncertainty. This limits its potential for a major institutional catalyst that could drive demand and offset the current downturn.
For now, Solana’s future hinges on whether memecoin activity can recover, DeFi inflows can return, and market sentiment can shift. Until then, the risk of further downside remains significant.
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